Thursday, October 30, 2008
Senate Rankings 10.30.08
Senate +8 DEM
Current Senate: 50-49-1 DEM (+2 GOP with Obama victory needed for takeover, +1 GOP or S.Q. with McCain victory)
Projected Senate: 58-41-1 DEM (+8 DEM)
Narrow Range: 55-44-1 DEM (+5 DEM) to 58-41-1 DEM (+8 DEM)
Wide Range: 51-48-1 DEM (+1 DEM) to 62-37-1 DEM (+12 DEM)
Pundit Spread: +7 DEM (Cook: +7 DEM, Sabato: +7 DEM, CQ: +7 DEM, Rothenberg: +7-8 DEM)
With Tossups Unassigned: 56-41-1-2 DEM
With Tossups Split 50/50: 57-42-1 (+7 DEM)
Current Tossup Winning Split: DEM 2 GOP 0
Current Tossup Defending Split: GOP 2 DEM 0
Strong Chance of Takeover (Leans Attacking Party or Better): DEM 6 GOP 0
Seats in Play (Leans Defending Party or Worse): DEM 12 GOP 1
Likelihood of DEM Filibuster Proof Majority with Lieberman: 25%
Likelihood of DEM Filibuster Proof Majority without Lieberman: 10%
Switches from October 23rd: None
†-December runoff currently projected
Safe Democratic
Virginia
Likely Democratic
New Mexico
Leans Democratic
Colorado, New Hampshire, Oregon, Alaska
Tilts Democratic/Tossup
North Carolina, Minnesota
Leans Republican
Georgia†, Mississippi (Special), Kentucky, Maine
Democratic Defenses
Leans Democratic
Louisiana
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
No comments:
Post a Comment