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Senate: +8 DEM (Updated 10.30.08)
House: +23 DEM (Updated 10.30.08)
Governorships: +1 DEM
5 days until Election Day
McCain closes to within seven in the national margin. Obama surges in the southwest as New Mexico turns dark blue for the second time this week and Arizona changes to a pinkish shade. New Congressional Ratings will be out sometime this afternoon.
Obama/Biden 364 (52.8) McCain/Palin 174 (46.2)
With Tossups Unassigned: Obama 311-163-64
Tossup States: Florida, Missouri, North Carolina, Indiana
(64 Bush EV, 0 Kerry EV)
Swing in Projected Popular Vote from October 28th: McCain +1.2
Narrow Range (States within 3 points): Obama 311-227 to Obama 375-163
Medium Range (States within 5 points): Obama 286-252 to Obama 375-163
State by State Polling: Obama 375-163
Safe Obama (Obama by 20+%)
Washington D.C., Hawaii, New York, Vermont, Massachusetts, Illinois, Delaware
Solid Obama (Obama by 14-20%)
California, Rhode Island, Connecticut, Maryland, New Jersey, Washington, Maine
Likely Obama (Obama by 8-14%)
Oregon, Michigan, Iowa, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, New Mexico
Leans Obama (Obama by 3-8%)
Colorado, Virginia, Nevada, Ohio
Tilts Obama/Tossup (Obama by 0-3%)
Florida, Missouri, North Carolina
Tilts McCain/Tossup (McCain by 0-3%)
Indiana
Leans McCain (McCain by 3-8%)
Georgia, Montana, North Dakota, West Virginia, Arizona
Likely McCain (McCain by 8-14%)
Arkansas, South Dakota, Mississippi, Texas, Louisiana, Kentucky
Solid McCain (McCain by 14-20%)
South Carolina, Tennessee, Kansas, Alaska
Safe McCain (McCain by 20%)
Nebraska, Alabama, Wyoming, Oklahoma, Utah, Idaho
Top 15 Turnover Targets
1. Iowa-Obama 10.9%
2. New Mexico-Obama 8.4%
3. Virginia-Obama 6.6%
4. Colorado-Obama 6.4%
5. Nevada-Obama 4.9%
6. Ohio-Obama 4.4%
7. Florida-Obama 2.6%
8. Missouri-Obama 1.3%
9. North Carolina-Obama 0.2%
10. Indiana-McCain 1.o%
11. Georgia-McCain 5.4%
12. Montana-McCain 5.9%
13. North Dakota-McCain 5.9%
14. West Virginia-McCain 6.1%
15. Arizona-McCain 7.3%
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