Presidential Projection 10.16.08

19 days until election day

North Dakota Moves Into Play

Obama/Biden 349 (53.9) McCain/Palin 189 (45.1)

With Tossups Unassigned: Obama 333-169-36

Tossup States: Nevada, Missouri, North Carolina, West Virginia

Swing in Projected Popular Vote from October 15th: +.4 McCain

Narrow Range (States within 3 points): Obama 333-205 to Obama 369-169

Medium Range (States within 5 points): Obama 273-265 to Obama 380-158

State by State Polling: Obama 349-189

Safe Obama (Obama by 20+%)

Washington D.C., Hawaii, Vermont, New York, Massachusetts

Solid Obama (Obama by 14-20%)

Rhode Island, Maryland, Delaware, Illinois, Connecticut, California

Likely Obama (Obama by 8-14%)

Pennsylvania, Oregon, Iowa, New Jersey, Michigan, Wisconsin, Maine, Washington, Minnesota

Leans Obama (Obama by 3-8%)

New Mexico, New Hampshire, Colorado, Virginia, Florida, Ohio

Tilts Obama/Tossup (Obama by 0-3%)

Nevada, Missouri

Tilts McCain/Tossup (McCain by 0-3%)

North Carolina, West Virginia

Leans McCain (McCain by 3-8%)

Indiana, North Dakota

Likely McCain (McCain by 8-14%)

Georgia, Montana, Arkansas, Mississippi, Louisiana, Texas, Arizona

Solid McCain (McCain by 14-20%)

South Carolina, South Dakota, Kentucky, Tennessee, Alaska, Kansas

Safe McCain (McCain by 20%)

Alabama, Wyoming, Oklahoma, Idaho, Utah