Thursday, October 16, 2008
Presidential Projection 10.16.08
19 days until election day
North Dakota Moves Into Play
Obama/Biden 349 (53.9) McCain/Palin 189 (45.1)
With Tossups Unassigned: Obama 333-169-36
Tossup States: Nevada, Missouri, North Carolina, West Virginia
Swing in Projected Popular Vote from October 15th: +.4 McCain
Narrow Range (States within 3 points): Obama 333-205 to Obama 369-169
Medium Range (States within 5 points): Obama 273-265 to Obama 380-158
State by State Polling: Obama 349-189
Safe Obama (Obama by 20+%)
Washington D.C., Hawaii, Vermont, New York, Massachusetts
Solid Obama (Obama by 14-20%)
Rhode Island, Maryland, Delaware, Illinois, Connecticut, California
Likely Obama (Obama by 8-14%)
Pennsylvania, Oregon, Iowa, New Jersey, Michigan, Wisconsin, Maine, Washington, Minnesota
Leans Obama (Obama by 3-8%)
New Mexico, New Hampshire, Colorado, Virginia, Florida, Ohio
Tilts Obama/Tossup (Obama by 0-3%)
Nevada, Missouri
Tilts McCain/Tossup (McCain by 0-3%)
North Carolina, West Virginia
Leans McCain (McCain by 3-8%)
Indiana, North Dakota
Likely McCain (McCain by 8-14%)
Georgia, Montana, Arkansas, Mississippi, Louisiana, Texas, Arizona
Solid McCain (McCain by 14-20%)
South Carolina, South Dakota, Kentucky, Tennessee, Alaska, Kansas
Safe McCain (McCain by 20%)
Alabama, Wyoming, Oklahoma, Idaho, Utah
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