Presidential Projection 10.15.08

20 days until election day

Obama/Biden 349 (54.1) McCain/Palin 189 (44.9)

With Tossups Unassigned: Obama 333-169-36

Tossup States: Nevada, Missouri, North Carolina, West Virginia

Swing in Projected Popular Vote from October 4th: +.8 Obama

Narrow Range (States within 3 points): Obama 333-205 to Obama 369-169

Medium Range (States within 5 points): Obama 273-265 to Obama 380-158

State by State Polling: Obama 349-189

Safe Obama (Obama by 20+%)

Washington D.C., Hawaii, Vermont, New York

Solid Obama (Obama by 14-20%)

Rhode Island, Massachusetts, Maryland, Delaware, Illinois, Connecticut, California

Likely Obama (Obama by 8-14%)

Pennsylvania, Oregon, Iowa, New Jersey, Michigan, Wisconsin, Washington, Minnesota

Leans Obama (Obama by 3-8%)

New Mexico, New Hampshire, Colorado, Virginia, Florida, Ohio

Tilts Obama/Tossup (Obama by 0-3%)

Nevada, Missouri

Tilts McCain/Tossup (McCain by 0-3%)

North Carolina, West Virginia

Leans McCain (McCain by 3-8%)

Indiana

Likely McCain (McCain by 8-14%)

North Dakota, Montana, Georgia, Arkansas, Mississippi, Louisiana, Texas, Arizona

Solid McCain (McCain by 14-20%)

Kentucky, Tennessee, Alaska, Kansas

Safe McCain (McCain by 20%)

Alabama, Wyoming, Oklahoma, Idaho, Utah