Canadian Election October 14th

Completely Arbitrary Canadian Election Predictions

40th Parliament of Canada (155 MP's needed for a majority)

Conservative Party of Canada 127 (0)

Liberal Party of Canada 91 (-7)

Bloc Québécois 49 (0)

New Democratic Party 39 (+9)

Others 2 (-2)

Government: Conservative Minority of 36

Well to be fully honest I have absolutely no idea if these numbers are anywhere near accurate as predicting Canadian elections is typically an inexact science even for the experts and my knowledge of politics north of the 49th is rather paltry, at least compared to south of the parallel. Still, as best as I can tell these numbers are more or less in line with the current polling. Despite his earlier hopes, Prime Minister Stephen Harper will only win a minority government (his second consecutive and third consecutive overall) instead of becoming the first Tory leader to win a majority since 1988. However the Liberals are expected to lose at least a handful of seats making the NDP, currently predicted to pick up nine seats, the real winners on come Election Day. However, the Harper minority will probably survive for at least a full year, if not the usually long period of 33 months that his previous government stayed in power. And hopefully I'll be able to think up better commentary by Tuesday night.