House Ranking 7/23/08

House: +8 DEM

Current House: 236-199 DEM (+19 GOP needed for takeover)
Projected House: 244-191 DEM (+8 DEM)
Narrow Range: +3 GOP (233-202 DEM) to +19 DEM (255-180 DEM)
Wide Range: +22 GOP (221-214 GOP) to +34 DEM (270-165 DEM)
Pundit Spread: +7-8 DEM (Cook +9-10 DEM, CQ +6-7 DEM, Sabato +8 DEM, Rothenberg +5 DEM)
Likelihood of Takeover: 2%

Switches from June 15th: None

Republican Defenses

Leans Democratic (4)

Illinois 11th, New York 13th, New York 25th, Virginia 11th

Tilts Democratic/Toss Up (6)

Arizona 1st, New Mexico 1st, New Jersey 3rd, Minnesota 3rd, New Jersey 7th, Ohio 15th

Tilts Republican/Toss Up (9)

Ohio 16th, North Carolina 8th, Washington 8th, Alaska At-Large, New York 26th, Illinois 10th, Michigan 7th, Connecticut 4th, Colorado 4th

Leans Republican (15)

New York 29th, Ohio 1st, Nevada 3rd, Louisiana 4th, Michigan 9th, Florida 24th, Missouri 6th, Ohio 2nd, Florida 13th, Virginia 2nd, Alabama 2nd, New Mexico 2nd, Missouri 9th, Pennsylvania 6th, West Virginia 2nd

Likely Republican/Potentially Competitive (7)

Pennsylvania 18th, Illinois 6th, California 4th, Pennsylvania 3rd, Florida 8th, Florida 21st, Pennsylvania 15th

Solid Republican/Potentially Competitive (13)

Wyoming At-Large, Florida 15th, Minnesota 6th, Arizona 3rd, Virginia 5th, Illinois 18th, Nevada 2nd, Maryland 1st, Idaho 1st, Kentucky 2nd, New Jersey 5th, California 50th, Virginia 10th

Safe Republican (145)

Democratic Defenses

Tilts Republican/Toss-Up (2)

Alabama 5th, Texas 22nd

Tilts Democratic/Toss-Up (5)

Kansas 2nd, Louisiana 6th, Florida 16th, Pennsylvania 10th, California 11th

Leans Democratic (15)

Mississippi 1st, Georgia 8th, Indiana 9th, Arizona 5th, Wisconsin 8th, New Hampshire 1st, New York 20th, Pennsylvania 4th, Kentucky 3rd, Oregon 5th, Illinois 14th, Arizona 8th, Pennsylvania 11th, Minnesota 1st, Illinois 8th

Likely Democratic/Potentially Competitive (6)

Pennsylvania 8th, Kansas 3rd, Texas 23rd, Georgia 12th, New York 19th, Connecticut 5th

Solid Democratic/Potentially Competitive (4)

Indiana 8th, Ohio 18th, New Hampshire 2nd, Indiana 2nd

Safe Democratic (204)