Senate Rankings 7/23/08

Senate: +4 DEM

Current Senate: 51-49 DEM (+1 GOP with McCain Victory, +2 GOP with Obama Victory, needed for takeover)
Projected Senate: 55-45 DEM (+4 DEM)
Narrow Range: +4 DEM (55-45 DEM) to +5 DEM (56-44 DEM)
Wide Range: +1 DEM (52-48 DEM) to +9 DEM (60-40 DEM)
Pundit Spread: +4-5 DEM (Cook +5 DEM, CQ +4-5 DEM, Sabato +5 DEM, Rothenberg +3-4 DEM)
Likelihood of Turnover: .5%
Likelihood of Democratic Filibuster Proof Majority: 1%

Switches from June 9th: None


Republican Defenses

Likely Democratic

Virginia, New Mexico

Leans Democratic

New Hampshire, Colorado

Tilts Republican/Toss-Up

Mississippi (Special)

Leans Republican

Oregon, Minnesota, Alaska, Maine

Likely Republican/Potentially Competitive

North Carolina, Texas, Kentucky

Democratic Defenses

Leans Democratic

Louisiana