Presidential Projection 8.25.08

Obama 273 (50.3) McCain 265 (48.7)

With Tossups: Obama 264-200-74

Switches from August 16th: +20 McCain

Obama to McCain: Ohio

Swing in Projected Popular Vote since August 16th: +2.8 McCain

Narrow Range: Obama 338-200 to McCain 274-264

Wide Range: Obama 384-154 to McCain 355-183

Base Support: Obama 183-154

State by State Projection

Safe Obama (14)

Washington D.C., Vermont, Hawaii, Rhode Island

Solid Obama (126)

New York, Connecticut, Illinois, California, Massachusetts

Likely Obama (43)

Maine, Maryland, Washington, New Jersey, Delaware

Leans Obama (81)

Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Oregon, Michigan, Iowa, Minnesota, New Mexico, New Hampshire

Tilts Obama (9)

Colorado

Tilts McCain (65)

Ohio, Virginia, Nevada, Florida

Leans McCain (46)

Montana, Missouri, North Carolina, North Dakota, South Dakota, Indiana

Likely McCain (87)

West Virginia, Texas, Alaska, Georgia, Arkansas, South Carolina, Arizona, Mississippi

Solid McCain (52)

Louisiana, Kentucky, Alabama, Nebraska, Idaho, Tennessee, Kansas

Safe McCain (15)

Oklahoma, Utah, Wyoming