Isto Pensitaris?

A digital journal with a focus on political prognostication, while providing commentary regarding current events and random personal minutia. As for the title, Isto Pensitaris roughly translates as "You actually get paid for this crap?", which I chose as a tongue in cheek (I hope) commentary about the quality of this site while attempting to poke fun at those who use pompous foreign phrases for no apparent reason. I promise this will be the only occurrence of gratuitous Latin.

Sunday, August 3, 2008

Presidential Projection 8.3.08

Capsule: I hope to have more detailed commentary and explanation of a couple new features up sometime tomorrow.

Obama 298 (51.2) McCain 240 (47.8)

With Tossups: Obama 264-200-74

Switches from July 23rd: +13 McCain

Obama to McCain: Virginia

McCain to Obama: None

Swing in Projected Popular Vote from July 23rd: +1.6 McCain

Narrow Range: Obama 338-200 to McCain 274-264

Wide Range: Obama 381-157 to McCain 355-183

Base Support: Obama 183-157

State by State Polling: Obama 309-229

Likelihood of Turnover: 60.4% (-6.0%) (Tilts Obama)

Detailed State by State Prediction Data

Weekly Polling Data

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