Wednesday, April 28, 2010

British Election Projections 4.29.10

326 needed for a majority

Conservatives 274 (+66)
Labour 249 (-97)
Liberal Democrats 95 (+28)
Nationalists/Other 32 (+3)

Result: Hung Parliament, Conservatives 52 seats short

Potential Coalitions

Con/Lib 369 (Majority of 88)
Lab/Lib 344 (Majority of 38)

Popular Vote Polling Averages

Conservatives 34.1%
Liberal Democrats 29.1%
Labour 27.7%

British Election Projections 4.28.10

326 needed for a majority

Conservatives 272 (+64)
Labour 250 (-96)
Liberal Democrats 96 (+29)
Nationalists/Other 32 (+3)

Result: Hung Parliament, Conservatives 54 seats short

Potential Coalitions

Con/Lib 368 (Majority of 86)
Lab/Lib 346 (Majority of 42)

Polling Averages

Conservatives 33.9%
Liberal Democrats 28.9%
Labour 27.8%

Wednesday, April 21, 2010

British Election Projection 4.22.10

326 needed for a majority

Conservatives 254 (+46)
Labour 250 (-96)
Liberal Democrats 114 (+47)
Nationalists/Other 32 (+3)

Result: Hung Parliament, Conservatives 72 seats short of a majority (Potential Con/Lib Coalition, Potential Lab/Lib Coalition)

Popular Vote Averages

Conservatives 32.2%
Liberal Democrats 30.5%
Labour 26.7%

Tuesday, April 20, 2010

British Election Projections 4.21.10

326 needed for a majority

Conservatives 254 (+46)
Labour 253 (-93)
Liberal Democrats 111 (+44)
Nationalists/Other 32 (+3)

Result: Hung Parliament, Conservatives 72 short of a Majority (Potential Con/Lib Coalition, Potential Lab/Lib Coalition)

Nationwide Polling Averages

Conservatives 32.4%
Liberal Democrats 30.1%
Labour 27.3%

British Election Projections 4.20.10

326 needed for a majority

Labour 265 (-81)
Conservatives 251 (+43)
Liberal Democrats 102 (+35)
Nationalists/Other 32 (+3)

Result: Hung Parliament, Labour minority of 14. (Potential Lab/Lib Coalition, Potential Con/Lib Coalition).

Saturday, April 17, 2010

British Election Projections 4.17.10

326 needed for a majority

Conservatives 288 (+80)
Labour 265 (-81)
Liberal Democrats 66 (-1)
Nationalists/Others 31 (+2)

Result: Hung Parliament/Conservative Minority of 23 (Potential Con/Lib Coalition, Potential Lab/Lib Coalition)

Post Debate Polls Only

Labour 271 (-75)
Conservatives 246 (+38)
Liberal Democrats 101 (+34)
Nationalists/Other 32 (+1)

Result:Hung Parliament/Labour Minority of 25 (Potential Lab/Lib Coalition, Potential Con/Lib Coalition)

Thursday, April 15, 2010

British Election Projections 4.15.10

(326 needed for a majority government)

Conservatives 296 (+88)
Labour 268 (-78)
Liberal Democrats 53 (-14)
Nationalists/Other 33 (+4)

Result: Conservative Minority Government of 28 (Potential Con/Lib Coalition)

Thursday, April 8, 2010

British Election Projections 4.7.10

326 seats needed for a majority

Conservatives 314 (+106)
Labour 254 (-92)
Liberal Democrats 49 (-18)
Nationalists/Others 33 (+4)

Result: Hung Parliament, Conservative Minority Government of 60 (Potential Con/Lib Coalition Government)

Really more of a late night test run than anything, but wanted to get the first one of these out of the way as I'm going to start putting out regular predictions for the British General Election on May 6th, in an attempt to fill the political downtime gap while waiting for the American midterm elections start to move into full gear.