Monday, November 1, 2010

Final Senate Projection

Senate +8 GOP

Current Senate: 59-41 DEM
Projected Senate: 51-49 DEM (+8 GOP)
Range: +4 GOP (55-45 DEM) to +10 GOP (51-49 GOP)
Over/Under: +7 GOP

Democratic Defenses

Safe Republican

North Dakota

Solid Republican

Arkansas, Indiana

Leans Republican

Wisconsin

Tilts Republican/Toss-Up

Pennsylvania, Nevada, Colorado, Illinois

Tilts Democratic/Toss-Up

West Virginia, Washington

Leans Democratic

California, Connecticut

Likely Democratic

Delaware

Republican Defenses

Leans Republican

Kentucky, Missouri, New Hampshire

Likely Republican

Florida, Louisiana, North Carolina, Ohio

Final House Projection

House +60 GOP

Current House: 256-179 DEM
Projected House: 239-196 GOP (+60 GOP)
Range: 223-212 DEM (+33 GOP) to 251-184 GOP (+72 GOP)
Over/Under:+52.5 GOP

Democratic Defenses

Solid Republican (3)

Tennessee 6th, Louisiana 3rd, New York 29th

Likely Republican (4)

Indiana 8th, Arkansas 2nd, Tennessee 8th, Kansas 3rd

Leans Republican (30)

Texas 17th, Colorado 4th, Florida 24th, Pennsylvania 3rd, Florida 8th, Illinois 11th, Ohio 15th, Ohio 1st, Florida 2nd, New Hampshire 1st, Georiga 8th, Maryland 1st, Michigan 1st, Arkansas 1st, Arizona 1st, Washington 3rd, Virginia 2nd, South Carolina 5th, West Virginia 1st, Wisconsin 8th, Tennessee 4th, New Mexico 2nd, Mississippi 1st, Indiana 9th, South Dakota AL, Virginia 5th, Nevada 3rd, North Dakota AL, Ohio 16th, Ohio 18th

Tilts Republican/Tossup (26)

Arizona 5th, Colorado 3rd, Mississippi 4th, Pennsylvania 10th, Alabama 2nd, New York 19th, Pennsylvania 7th, Wisconsin 7th, New York 20th, Pennsylvania 11th, Illinois 14th, New York 23rd, Texas 23rd, Idaho 1st, Michigan 7th, California 11th, Pennsylvania 8th, Illinois 17th, New Hampshire 2nd, Missouri 4th, Florida 22nd, Georgia 2nd, Arizona 8th, New Jersey 3rd, New York 24th, North Carolina 8th

Tilts Democratic/Tossup (12)

Ohio 6th, Virginia 9th, Massachusetts 10th, Oregon 5th, Kentucky 6th, New Mexico 1st, Virginia 11th, Washington 2nd, Indiana 2nd, California 20th, Pennsylvania 12th, Arizona 7th

Leans Democratic (23)

New York 1st, North Carolina 7th, Iowa 3rd, Minnesota 1st, Connecticut 5th, Michigan 9th, Maine 1st, California 47th, Connecticut 4th, New York 13th, Colorado 7th, Iowa 1st, North Carolina 11th, Wisconsin 3rd, Iowa 2nd, Norh Carolina 2nd, Pennsylvania 4th, Minnesota 8th, Rhode Island 1st, Kentucky 3rd, New York 25th, Ohio 13th, Pennsylvania 17th

Likely Democratic (6)

Missouri 3rd, New York 22nd, Texas 27th, Maine 2nd, West Virginia 3rd, Massachusetts 4th

Republican Defenses

Leans Democratic (3)

Louisiana 2nd, Delaware AL, Illinois 10th

Tilts Republican/Tossup (1)

Hawai’i 1st

Leans Republican (5)

Florida 25th, Florida 12th, California 3rd, Washington 8th, Pennsylvania 15th