Senate Rankings 8/6/08

Senate: +5 DEM

Current Senate: 51-49 DEM (+1 GOP with McCain victory, +2 GOP with Obama victory needed for takeover)

Projected Senate: 56-44 DEM (+5 DEM)

Narrow Range: +5 DEM (56-44 DEM) to +5 DEM (56-44 DEM)

Wide Range: +1 DEM (52-48 DEM) to +9 DEM (60-40 DEM)

Pundit Spread: +5-6 DEM (Cook: +5-6 DEM, Sabato: +5-6 DEM, CQ: +5-6 DEM, Rothenberg: +4 DEM)

Likelihood of Turnover: Nil

Likelihood of Democratic Filibuster Proof Majority: 2%

Switches from July 23rd: +1 DEM

From GOP to DEM: Alaska

Republican Defenses

Likely Democratic

Virginia, New Mexico

Leans Democratic

New Hampshire, Alaska, Colorado

Leans Republican

Oregon, Minnesota, Mississippi (Special), Maine

Likely Republican/Potentially Competitive

North Carolina, Kentucky

Solid Republican/Potentially Competitive

Texas

Democratic Defenses

Leans Democratic

Louisiana