Obama vs McCain 5/18/08

Obama 294
McCain 244

Changes from last week

Obama to McCain: New Hampshire
McCain to Obama: None

Swing in raw popular vote from last week: McCain +.3
Swing in projected popular vote from last week: McCain +.2

Projections based upon the current margin in the projected popular vote (51.7-48.3 Obama) combined with pundit predictions and state by state polling. Projection is intended as a possibility of the election's outcome if held today and not a final prediction.

State by State Projection (Colored Bold indicates change from 2004)

Safe Democratic (27)

D.C., Vermont, Illinois

Solid Democratic (68)

Rhode Island, Hawaii, New York, Maryland, Connecticut, Massachusetts

Likely Democratic (105)

Maine, California, New Jersey, Washington, Delaware, Oregon, Minnesota

Leans Democratic (60)

Pennsylvania, Michigan, Iowa, New Mexico, Wisconsin

Tilts Democratic/Toss-Up (34)

Nevada, Ohio, Colorado

Tilts Republican/Toss-Up (31)

New Hampshire, Florida

Leans Republican (24)

Virginia, Missouri

Likely Republican (139)

North Carolina, South Carolina, Texas, Arkansas, West Virginia, Indiana, Louisiana, Montana, Georgia, Tennessee, Arizona, South Dakota, Mississippi, North Dakota

Solid Republican (31)

Alaska, Kansas, Kentucky, Nebraska, Alabama

Safe Republican (18)

Wyoming, Idaho, Oklahoma, Utah