Presidential Projection 6.9.08

Obama 293 (51.6) McCain 245 (47.4)

Switches from last week: None

Swing in Projected Popular Vote from last week: Obama +3.4

Narrow Range: 286-252 McCain to 320-218 Obama

Wide Range: 338-200 McCain to 369-169 Obama

Base Support: 200-169 Obama

State by State Polling Only: 272-266 Obama

Projection is based upon the current margin in the projected popular vote (51.6-47.4 Obama) combined with pundit prediction and state by state polling.

State by State Projection

Safe Democratic (31)

D.C., Vermont, Illinois, Rhode Island

Solid Democratic (112)

New York, Hawaii, Massachusetts, Maryland, California

Likely Democratic (57)

Maine, Connecticut, New Jersey, Washington, Delaware, Oregon, Minnesota

Leans Democratic (52)

Pennsylvania, Iowa, Wisconsin, Colorado, New Mexico

Tilts Democratic/Toss-Up (41)

New Hampshire, Ohio, Michigan

Tilts Republican/Toss-Up (27)

Missouri, Nevada, Virginia

Leans Republican (47)

Florida, North Carolina, West Virginia

Likely Republican (119)

Mississippi, Arkansas, South Carolina, Indiana, Louisiana, Texas, Georgia, Montana, Tennessee, South Dakota, Arizona, North Dakota

Solid Republican (26)

Alaska, Kansas, Kentucky, Alabama

Safe Republican (24)

Nebraska, Wyoming, Idaho, Oklahoma, Utah