Senate Rankings 9.16.10

Senate: +5 GOP

Current Senate: 59-41 DEM (+10 GOP needed for takeover)

Projected Senate: 54-46 DEM (+5 GOP)

Over/Under: +7.5 GOP

Potential Range: +4 GOP (55-45 DEM) to +11 GOP (52-48 GOP)

Democratic Defenses

Safe Republican

North Dakota

Likely Republican/Potentially Competitive

Arkansas, Indiana

Leans Republican

Pennsylvania

Tilts Republican/Toss-Up

Colorado

Tilts Democratic/Toss-Up

Illinois, Nevada, Wisconsin, Washington, California

Leans Democratic

Connecticut, West Virginia (Special)

Likely Democratic/Potentially Competitive

Delaware (Special)

Republican Defenses

Tilts Republican/Toss-Up

Florida

Leans Republican

New Hampshire, Missouri, Kentucky, Ohio

Likely Republican/Potentially Competitive

North Carolina, Louisiana

Turnover Rankings

1. North Dakota (GOP GAIN)

2. Arkansas (GOP GAIN)

3. Indiana (GOP GAIN)

4. Pennsylvania (GOP GAIN)

5. Colorado (GOP GAIN)

6. Illinois

7. Florida

8. Nevada

9. Wisconsin

10. Washington

11. California

12. New Hampshire

13. Missouri

14. Kentucky

15. Ohio