Saturday, May 17, 2008

Senate Rankings 5/16/08

Senate (+4 DEM)

Current Senate: 51-49 DEM (GOP +1 with Presidential Victory, +2 with DEM Presidential Victory, needed for takeover)
Seats for Filibuster Proof Majority: +9 DEM or +11 GOP
Seats for Veto-Proof Majority: +16 DEM, mathematically impossible for GOP
Projected Senate: 55-45 DEM (+4 DEM)
Narrow Range: +5 DEM (56-44 DEM) to +3 DEM (54-46 DEM)
Medium Range: +6 DEM (57-43 DEM) to S.Q. (51-49 DEM)
Wide Range: +8 DEM (59-41 DEM) to S.Q. (51-49 DEM)
Possibility of Turnover: 1%

Republican Defenses

Likely Democratic

Virginia

Leans Democratic

New Mexico, New Hampshire

Tilts Democratic/Toss-Up

Colorado

Tilts Republican/Toss-Up

Minnesota

Leans Republican

Oregon

Heavily Leans Republican

Alaska, Maine

Potentially Competitive

North Carolina, Texas, Mississippi (Special)

12 seats are currently safe

Democratic Defenses

Leans Democratic

Louisiana

11 seats are currently safe

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