Obama vs McCain 5/25/08

Obama 293
McCain 245

Changes from Last Week

Obama to McCain: Nevada
McCain to Obama: New Hampshire

Swing in raw popular vote from last week: McCain +1.0
Swing in projected popular vote from last week: McCain +1.0

Projections based upon the current margin in the projected popular vote (50.7-48.3 Obama) combined with pundit predictions and state by state polling. Projection is intended as a possibility of the election's outcome if held today and not a final prediction

Current Projections

Safe Democratic (27)

D.C., Vermont, Illinois

Solid Democratic (68)

Rhode Island, Hawaii, New York, Massachusetts, Maryland, Connecticut

Likely Democratic (105)

California, Maine, New Jersey, Washington, Delaware, Oregon, Minnesota

Leans Democratic (60)

Pennsylvania, Michigan, Iowa, Wisconsin, New Mexico

Tilts Democratic/Toss-Up (33)

New Hampshire, Colorado, Ohio

Tilts Republican/Toss-Up (5)

Nevada

Leans Republican (51)

Florida, Virginia, Missouri

Likely Republican (133)

North Carolina, South Carolina, Texas, Arkansas, West Virginia, Indiana, Louisiana, Georgia, Montana, Tennessee, South Dakota, Arizona, North Dakota

Solid Republican (37)

Mississippi, Alaska, Kansas, Kentucky, Nebraska, Alabama

Safe Republican (19)

Wyoming, Idaho, Oklahoma, Utah

Based on State to State Polling Only

Obama 289
McCain 249

Bush to Obama: Colorado, Iowa, New Mexico, Ohio
Kerry to McCain: New Hampshire