Monday, May 12, 2008

Daily Polling Update 5/12/08

As always the highest and lowest polling results for each candidate are thrown out in an attempt to reduce the influence of obvious outliers

Polling Data from 4/30-5/11

Raw Polling Numbers

Obama 48 (47.5) (46-51)
McCain 43 (43.0) (40-46)

Projected Popular Vote (Assuming 50/50 Split of Undecided Voters)

Obama 52 (52.5)(52.49)
McCain 48 (47.5)(47.51)

Tracking Polls

Obama 47 (47.0)
McCain 45 (44.5)

Polling Data

Obama 51-44 (ABC/Washington Post, 5/8-5/11)
Obama 47-43 (Gallup Tracking, 5/7-5/11)
Obama 47-46 (Rasmussen Tracking, 5/7-5/11)
Obama 46-40 (LA Times/Bloomberg, 5/1-5/8)
Obama 46-42 (AP/Ipsos, 4/30-5/4)
McCain 48-47 (USA Today/Gallup, 5/1-5/3)
Obama 51-40 (NYT/CBS, 5/1-5/3)
Obama 47-43 (Hotline/FD, 4/30-5/03)

Thrown Out

Obama 46 (LA Times), 51 (NYT/CBS)
McCain 40 (LA Times), 48 (USA Today/Gallup)

Phased Out

Obama 49-45 (CNN, 4/28-4/30)
McCain 46-43 (FOX, 4/28-4/29)

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