Senate Rankings 3.10.10

Senate: +6 GOP

Current Senate: 59-41 DEM (+10 GOP needed for takeover)
Projected Senate: 53-47 DEM (+6 GOP)
Over/Under: +4.5 GOP
Pundit Over/Under: +4 GOP (Cook: +3.5 GOP, CQ: +4 GOP, Roll Call: +4 GOP, Sabato: +4.5 GOP)
Narrow Range: 51-49 DEM (+8 GOP) to 58-42 DEM (+1 GOP)
Wide Range: 51-49 DEM (+8 GOP) to 63-37 DEM (+4 DEM)
GOP Best Case: A gain of seven to nine seats
DEM Best Case: A loss of two seats to a status quo election

Changes Since Last Update: Status Quo (+1 DEM, +1 GOP)

From DEM Hold to GOP Gain: Indiana
From GOP Gain to DEM Hold: Pennsylvania

Democratic Defenses

Safe Republican

North Dakota

Leans Republican

Arkansas, Delaware (Special), Indiana

Tilts Republican/Tossup

Nevada, Colorado

Tilts Democratic/Tossup

Pennsylvania, Illinois

Likely Democratic/Potentially Competitive

California, Connecticut

Republican Defenses

Tilts Republican/Tossup

New Hampshire, Ohio, Missouri

Leans Republican

Kentucky, North Carolina

Likely Republican/Potentially Competitive

Florida, Louisiana