Senate Ratings Final

Senate: +8 DEM

Current Senate: 50-49-1 DEM (+2 GOP with Obama victory needed for takeover, +1 GOP or S.Q. with McCain victory)
Projected Senate: 58-41-1 DEM (+8 DEM)
Narrow Range: 57-42-1 DEM (+7 DEM) to 58-41-1 DEM (+8 DEM)
Wide Range: 52-47-1 DEM (+2 DEM) to 62-37-1 DEM (+12 DEM)
Pundit Spread: +7 DEM (Cook: +7 DEM, Sabato: +7 DEM, CQ: +7 DEM, Rothenberg: +7-8 DEM)
With Tossups Unassigned: 57-41-1-1 DEM
With Tossups Split 50/50: 57-42-1 DEM(+7 DEM) or 58-41-1 DEM (+8 DEM)
Current Tossup Winning Split: DEM 1 GOP 0
Current Tossup Defending Split: GOP 1 DEM 0
Strong Chance of Takeover (Leans Attacking Party or Better): DEM 7 GOP 0
Seats in Play (Leans Defending Party or Worse): DEM 12 GOP 1
2006 Accuracy: 33/33 (100%)
Likelihood of DEM Filibuster Proof Majority with Lieberman: 20%
Likelihood of DEM Filibuster Proof Majority without Lieberman: 7%

Long Story Short: The Democrats will register large gains, gaining their strongest majority since the Carter administration. However, they will fall short of a filibuster proof majority unless they somehow pull off an upset in at least one of three southern seats which Lean Republican.

Long Story Long: Tomorrow Afternoon

Switches from October 30th: None

†-December runoff currently projected

Republican Defenses

Safe Democratic

Virginia

Likely Democratic

New Mexico, Colorado

Leans Democratic

New Hampshire, Alaska, Oregon, North Carolina

Tilts Democratic/Tossup

Minnesota

Leans Republican

Georgia†, Kentucky, Mississippi (Special), Maine

Democratic Defenses

Leans Democratic

Louisiana