House Ratings Final

House: +26 DEM

Current House: 235-199 DEM with 1 DEM vacancy (+19 GOP needed for takeover)
Projected House: 262-173 DEM (+26 DEM)
Narrow Range: 250-185 DEM (+14 DEM) to 265-170 DEM (+29 DEM)
Wide Range: 227-208 DEM (+9 GOP) to 283-152 DEM (+47 DEM)
With Tossups Unassigned: 250-170-15 DEM
With Tossups Split 50/50: 257-178 (+21 DEM) to 258-177 (+22 DEM)
Current Tossup Winning Split: DEM 12 GOP 3
Current Tossup Defending Split: GOP 13 DEM 2
Strong Chance of Takeover (Leans Attacking Party or Better): DEM 18 GOP 2
Targets in Play (Leans Defending Party or Worse): DEM 48 GOP 12
2006 Accuracy: 420/435 (96.6%) (Predicted: +29 DEM, Actual: +30 DEM)

Long Story Short: The Democrats are certain to maintain control of the House of Representatives gaining at least twenty seats, with an excellent chance of forming the largest house majority, for either party, since 1992.

Long Story Long: Tomorrow Afternoon (I hope)

* Pundit Spread determined by assigning all seats to party currently favored and dividing any remaining tossups evenly between the two major parties

Switches from October 30th: +3 DEM

From GOP HOLD to DEM GAIN: Ohio 1st, Idaho 1st, California 4th

Current Vacancy: Ohio 11th (Rep. Stephanie Tubbs-Jones Deceased) SAFE DEM

†-December runoff currently projected

Republican Defenses (199)

Likely Democratic (3)

New York 13th, New York 25th, Virginia 11th

Leans Democratic (15)

Florida 24th, Arizona 1st, Illinois 11th, Ohio 16th, Alaska At-Large, Ohio 15th, New Mexico 1st, New Jersey 3rd, New York 29th, Michigan 9th, North Carolina 8th, Florida 8th, Colorado 4th, Pennsylvania 3rd, Connecticut 4th

Tilts Democratic/Tossup (11)

Nevada 3rd, New Mexico 2nd, Washington 8th, Minnesota 6th, Michigan 7th, Minnesota 3rd, New Jersey 7th, Ohio 1st, Idaho 1st, Illinois 10th, California 4th

Tilts Republican/Tossup (2)

Louisiana 4th†, Florida 25th

Leans Republican (17)

Florida 21st, Alabama 2nd, Missouri 9th, Maryland 1st, New York 26th, Kentucky 2nd, Nebraska 2nd, Virginia 2nd, Virginia 5th, Nevada 2nd, Ohio 2nd, Wyoming At-Large, Arizona 3rd, Indiana 3rd, Texas 7th, West Virginia 2nd, Texas 10th

Likely Republican/Potentially Competitive (8)

South Carolina 1st, Pennsylvania 18th, California 50th, Florida 13th, New Jersey 5th, Iowa 4th, Missouri 6th, Pennsylvania 15t

Solid Republican/Potentially Competitive (11)

California 46th, California 3rd, North Carolina 5th, Pennsylvania 6th, Ohio 14th, Illinois 6th, Minnesota 2nd, Alabama 3rd, California 26th, Illinois 13th, Virginia 10th

Currently Safe (132)

Democratic Defenses (236)

Likely Republican (1)

Florida 16th

Leans Republican (1)

Texas 22nd

Tilts Republican/Tossup (1)

Pennsylvania 11th

Tilts Democratic/Tossup (1)

Alabama 5th

Leans Democratic (8)

Kansas 2nd, Louisiana 6th, New Hampshire 1st, Georgia 8th, California 11th, Pennsylvania 12th, Wisconsin 8th, Pennsylvania 10th

Likely Democratic/Potentially Competitive (6)

Mississippi 1st, New York 20th, Arizona 5th, Arizona 8th, Texas 23rd, Illinois 14th

Solid Democratic/Potentially Competitive (9)

Ohio 18th, New York 24th, Kansas 3rd, Kentucky 3rd, Pennsylvania 4th, Indiana 9th, Illinois 8th, Connecticut 5th, Minnesota 1st

Currently Safe (209)