Senate Rankings 6.9.08

Senate (+4 DEM)

Current Senate: 51-49 DEM (+1 GOP with GOP Presidential Victory, +2 GOP with DEM Presidential Victory, needed for takeover)
Projected Senate: 55-45 DEM (+4 DEM)
Narrow Range: +2 DEM (53-47 DEM) to +5 DEM (56-44 DEM)
Wide Range: S.Q. (51-49 DEM) to +9 DEM (60-40)
Pundit Spread: +4 DEM (Cook +4 DEM, Sabato +3 DEM, CQ +4 DEM, Rothenberg +3-4 DEM)
Likelihood of Turnover: 1%
Likelihood of Democratic Filibuster Proof Majority: 1%

Changes from last month: None

Republican Defenses

Likely Democratic

Virginia

Leans Democratic

New Mexico, New Hampshire

Tilts Democratic/Toss-Up

Colorado

Tilts Republican/Toss-Up

Minnesota

Leans Republican

Oregon, Alaska, Maine, Mississippi (Special)

Likely Republican

North Carolina, Kentucky, Texas

Democratic Defenses

Tilts Democratic/Toss-Up

Louisiana