Obama vs McCain 6/1/08

Obama 293 (49.9)
McCain 245 (49.1)

Switches from last week: None

Swing in projected popular vote from last week: McCain +1.6

Projection is based upon the current margin in the projected popular vote (49.9-49.1 Obama) combined with pundit prediction and state by state polling. Projection is intended as a possibility if the election was held today and not a final prediction.

Safe Democratic (27)

D.C., Vermont, Illinois

Solid Democratic (68)

Rhode Island, Hawaii, New York, Massachusetts, Maryland, Connecticut

Likely Democratic (88)

California, Maine, New Jersey, Delaware, Washington

Leans Democratic (60)

Oregon, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, Iowa, Wisconsin, New Mexico

Tilts Democratic/Toss-Up (50)

Michigan, New Hampshire, Colorado, Ohio

Tilts Republican/Toss-Up (5)

Nevada

Leans Republican (51)

Florida, Virginia, Missouri

Likely Republican (123)

North Carolina, South Carolina, Arkansas, West Virginia, Louisiana, Indiana, Texas, Georgia, Montana, Tennessee, Mississippi

Solid Republican (33)

Arizona, South Dakota, North Dakota, Alaska, Kansas, Kentucky

Safe Republican (33)

Alabama, Wyoming, Nebraska, Idaho, Oklahoma, Utah


Base Support (Without Toss-Ups or Leaners)

McCain 189
Obama 183

State Polling Only

Obama 272
McCain 266

Bush to Obama: Colorado, Ohio, New Mexico, Iowa
Kerry to McCain: Michigan, New Hampshire