House Rankings 6/15/08

House (+8 DEM)

Current House:235-199 DEM with 1 DEM vacancy (+19 GOP needed for takeover)
Projected House: 244-191 DEM (+8 DEM)
Narrow Range: +17 DEM (253-182 DEM) to +5 GOP (231-204 DEM)
Wide Range: +31 DEM (267-168 DEM) to +21 GOP (220-215 GOP)
Likelihood of Takeover: 2%

Current Vacancy:

Democratic

Maryland 4th-Al Wynn Resigned (6/17/08 Safe DEM)

Changes from last update (5/16/08): +1 DEM

GOP Hold to DEM Gain: New Jersey 7th
GOP Gain to DEM Hold: Mississippi 1st
DEM Hold to GOP Gain: Texas 22nd

Republican Defenses (199)

Leans Democratic (2)

Illinois 11th, Virginia 11th

Tilts Democratic/Toss-Up (8)

New York 25th, Arizona 1st, New Mexico 1st, New Jersey 3rd, Minnesota 3rd, Ohio 15th, New Jersey 7th, New York 13th

Tilts Republican/Toss-Up (7)

Ohio 16th, North Carolina 8th, Washington 8th, New York 26th, Illinois 10th, Connecticut 4th, Alaska AL

Leans Republican (14)

New York 29th, Ohio 1st, Michigan 7th, Nevada 3rd, Louisiana 4th, Michigan 9th, Colorado 4th, Missouri 6th, Ohio 2nd, Florida 24th, Florida 13th, Alabama 2nd, New Mexico 2nd, Pennsylvania 6th

Likely Republican/Potentially Competitive (6)

Pennsylvania 18th, Illinois 6th, California 4th, West Virginia 2nd, Virginia 2nd, Missouri 9th

Solid Republican/Potentially Competitive (8)

Florida 8th, Minnesota 6th, Florida 21st, Illinois 18th, Maryland 1st, Pennsylvania 3rd, Pennsylvania 15th, Arizona 3rd

Currently Safe (154)

Democratic Defenses (236)

Tilts Republican/Toss-Up (2)

Alabama 5th, Texas 22nd

Tilts Democratic/Toss-Up (5)

Kansas 2nd, Mississippi 1st, Florida 16th, Pennsylvania 10th, Louisiana 6th

Leans Democratic (14)

Calfornia 11th, Georgia 8th, Oregon 5th, Indiana 9th, New Hampshire 1st, Arizona 5th, Wisconsin 8th, Pennsylvania 4th, New York 20th, Arizona 8th, Kentucky 3rd, Illinois 14th, Minnesota 1st, Illinois 8th

Likely Democratic/Potentially Competitive (6)

Ohio 18th, Pennsylvania 8th, Texas 23rd, Kansas 3rd, Georgia 12th, New York 19th

Solid Democratic/Potentially Competitive (4)

Connecticut 5th, Indiana 8th, New Hampshire 2nd, North Carolina 11th

Currently Safe (205)