Senate: +6 GOP
Current Senate: 59-41 DEM (+10 GOP needed for takeover)
Projected Senate: 53-47 DEM (+6 GOP)
Over/Under: +4 GOP
Narrow Range: 52-48 DEM (+7 GOP) to 58-42 DEM (+1 GOP)
Wide Range: 52-48 DEM (+7 GOP) to 63-37 DEM (+4 DEM)
GOP Best Case: A gain of six to eight seats
DEM Best Case: A loss of two seats to a status quo election
Democratic Defenses
Safe Republican
North Dakota
Likely Republican/Potentially Competitive
Delaware
Leans Republican
Arkansas, Nevada
Tilts Republican/Tossup
Colorado, Pennsylvania
Tilts Democratic/Tossup
Illinois
Likely Democratic/Potentially Competitive
California, Connecticut
Republican Defenses
Tilts Republican/Tossup
New Hampshire, Ohio, Missouri
Leans Republican
Kentucky, North Carolina
Likely Republican/Potentially Competitive
Florida, Louisiana
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