Senate Rankings 9.23.10

Senate: +6 GOP

Current Senate: 59-41 DEM (+10 GOP needed for takeover)

Projected Senate: 53-47 DEM (+6 GOP)

Over/Under: +7 GOP

Potential Range: +3 GOP (56-44 DEM) to +11 GOP (52-48 GOP)

Changes from Last Week: +1 GOP

From DEM HOLD to GOP GAIN: Wisconsin

Democratic Defenses

Safe Republican

North Dakota

Likely Republican/Potentially Competitive

Arkansas, Indiana

Leans Republican

Pennsylvania

Tilts Republican/Toss-Up

Colorado, Wisconsin

Tilts Democratic/Toss-Up

Nevada, Illinois, Washington, California

Leans Democratic

West Virginia (Special), Connecticut

Likely Democratic/Potentially Competitive

Delaware (Special)

Republican Defenses

Tilts Republican/Toss-Up

Florida

Leans Republican

New Hampshire, Missouri, Kentucky, Ohio

Likely Republican/Potentially Competitive

North Carolina, Louisiana

Senate Rankings 9.16.10

Senate: +5 GOP

Current Senate: 59-41 DEM (+10 GOP needed for takeover)

Projected Senate: 54-46 DEM (+5 GOP)

Over/Under: +7.5 GOP

Potential Range: +4 GOP (55-45 DEM) to +11 GOP (52-48 GOP)

Democratic Defenses

Safe Republican

North Dakota

Likely Republican/Potentially Competitive

Arkansas, Indiana

Leans Republican

Pennsylvania

Tilts Republican/Toss-Up

Colorado

Tilts Democratic/Toss-Up

Illinois, Nevada, Wisconsin, Washington, California

Leans Democratic

Connecticut, West Virginia (Special)

Likely Democratic/Potentially Competitive

Delaware (Special)

Republican Defenses

Tilts Republican/Toss-Up

Florida

Leans Republican

New Hampshire, Missouri, Kentucky, Ohio

Likely Republican/Potentially Competitive

North Carolina, Louisiana

Turnover Rankings

1. North Dakota (GOP GAIN)

2. Arkansas (GOP GAIN)

3. Indiana (GOP GAIN)

4. Pennsylvania (GOP GAIN)

5. Colorado (GOP GAIN)

6. Illinois

7. Florida

8. Nevada

9. Wisconsin

10. Washington

11. California

12. New Hampshire

13. Missouri

14. Kentucky

15. Ohio

British Election Final Projections (5.6.10)

326 needed for a majority

Conservatives 290 (+82)
Labour 240 (-106)
Liberal Democrats 88 (+21)
Nationalists/Other 32 (+3)

Result: Hung Parliament, Conservatives 36 seats short

Potential Coalitions

Con/Lib 378 (Majority of 106)
Lab/Lib 328 (Majority of 6)

Popular Vote Polling Averages

Conservatives 35.7%
Labour 27.7%
Liberal Democrats 27.5%

British Election Projections 5.5.10

326 needed for a majority

Conservatives 280 (+72)
Labour 249 (-97)
Liberal Democrats 89 (+22)
Nationalists/Other 32 (+3)

Result: Hung Parliament, Conservatives 46 seats short

Potential Coalitions

Con/Lib 369 (Majority of 88)
Lab/Lib 338 (Majority of 26)

Popular Vote Polling Averages

Conservatives 34.7%
Labour 27.9%
Liberal Democrats 27.6%

British Election Projections 5.4.10

326 needed for a majority

Conservatives 277 (+69)
Labour 249 (-97)
Liberal Democrats 92 (+25)
Nationalists/Other 32 (+3)

Result: Hung Parliament, Conservatives 49 seats short of a majority

Potential Coalitions

Con/Lib 369 (Majority of 88)
Lab/Lib 341 (Majority of 32)

Popular Vote Averages

Conservatives 34.3%
Liberal Democrats 28.2%
Labour 27.6%

British Election Projections 4.29.10

326 needed for a majority

Conservatives 274 (+66)
Labour 249 (-97)
Liberal Democrats 95 (+28)
Nationalists/Other 32 (+3)

Result: Hung Parliament, Conservatives 52 seats short

Potential Coalitions

Con/Lib 369 (Majority of 88)
Lab/Lib 344 (Majority of 38)

Popular Vote Polling Averages

Conservatives 34.1%
Liberal Democrats 29.1%
Labour 27.7%

British Election Projections 4.28.10

326 needed for a majority

Conservatives 272 (+64)
Labour 250 (-96)
Liberal Democrats 96 (+29)
Nationalists/Other 32 (+3)

Result: Hung Parliament, Conservatives 54 seats short

Potential Coalitions

Con/Lib 368 (Majority of 86)
Lab/Lib 346 (Majority of 42)

Polling Averages

Conservatives 33.9%
Liberal Democrats 28.9%
Labour 27.8%

British Election Projection 4.22.10

326 needed for a majority

Conservatives 254 (+46)
Labour 250 (-96)
Liberal Democrats 114 (+47)
Nationalists/Other 32 (+3)

Result: Hung Parliament, Conservatives 72 seats short of a majority (Potential Con/Lib Coalition, Potential Lab/Lib Coalition)

Popular Vote Averages

Conservatives 32.2%
Liberal Democrats 30.5%
Labour 26.7%

British Election Projections 4.21.10

326 needed for a majority

Conservatives 254 (+46)
Labour 253 (-93)
Liberal Democrats 111 (+44)
Nationalists/Other 32 (+3)

Result: Hung Parliament, Conservatives 72 short of a Majority (Potential Con/Lib Coalition, Potential Lab/Lib Coalition)

Nationwide Polling Averages

Conservatives 32.4%
Liberal Democrats 30.1%
Labour 27.3%

British Election Projections 4.20.10

326 needed for a majority

Labour 265 (-81)
Conservatives 251 (+43)
Liberal Democrats 102 (+35)
Nationalists/Other 32 (+3)

Result: Hung Parliament, Labour minority of 14. (Potential Lab/Lib Coalition, Potential Con/Lib Coalition).