Wednesday, September 15, 2010

Senate Rankings 9.16.10

Senate: +5 GOP

Current Senate: 59-41 DEM (+10 GOP needed for takeover)
Projected Senate: 54-46 DEM (+5 GOP)
Over/Under: +7.5 GOP
Potential Range: +4 GOP (55-45 DEM) to +11 GOP (52-48 GOP)

Democratic Defenses

Safe Republican

North Dakota

Likely Republican/Potentially Competitive

Arkansas, Indiana

Leans Republican

Pennsylvania

Tilts Republican/Toss-Up

Colorado

Tilts Democratic/Toss-Up

Illinois, Nevada, Wisconsin, Washington, California

Leans Democratic

Connecticut, West Virginia (Special)

Likely Democratic/Potentially Competitive

Delaware (Special)

Republican Defenses

Tilts Republican/Toss-Up

Florida

Leans Republican

New Hampshire, Missouri, Kentucky, Ohio

Likely Republican/Potentially Competitive

North Carolina, Louisiana

Turnover Rankings

1. North Dakota (GOP GAIN)
2. Arkansas (GOP GAIN)
3. Indiana (GOP GAIN)
4. Pennsylvania (GOP GAIN)
5. Colorado (GOP GAIN)
6. Illinois
7. Florida
8. Nevada
9. Wisconsin
10. Washington
11. California
12. New Hampshire
13. Missouri
14. Kentucky
15. Ohio


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